Wuhan is like a wildfire, but everywhere else in China is just spot starts.
Reading that China has locked down something like 750 million people from leaving their homes. That's like double our population! Insane. I suppose something that authoritarian governments are good at.. Keeping everyone locked up seems like it SHOULD prevent exposure and spread.
But at what cost? At some point soon their economy is going to be spiraling if people can't go back to work.
One of these is not like the others. Developed countries have medical facilities that can handle and contain this. Iran... it couldn't have happened to an nicer bunch. Hopefully they spread it to their nutty neighbors.
I don't care about the Kung Flu unless it hits my parents, but I do care about what happens when Chinese factories have not been running for 6 weeks or longer. We are about to find out unfortunately and all signs point to empty shelves at Walmart for an unknown span of time. Once people figure out shortages are unavoidable, they'll rush the stores just like before snow storms to empty out the bread, milk and eggs aisles. The difference is that they will probably only get >50% of the normal trucks to restock causing a snowballing panic.
Korea has also shutdown public gatherings and regional travel within the country, so I don't think that I can scream loud enough that it's time to be stocked up on consumables. I made sure everyone in my house has a month supply of personal care products and stuff like TP and paper towels. After seeing the financial news broadcasts warning everyone this morning, I think it's time to get water and damn close to hoarding food. This is not how I wanted to have a baby.
Would you put it past the chinese to do that? No, you would not.
I don't for a minute believe that they have no new cases. There are probably tons of new cases, people that are quarantined WITH sick people who then get sick themselves, but they haven't been diagnosed b/c they either died, couldn't leave the house, or got turned away at the hospital.
Nothing about this is normal, and I think it's far from over. If/when china goes back to work, I suspect there will be another round of outbreaks. Imagine what this is doing to their economy! What if we just all stayed home for two months?!
Three things difficult to overcome in an outbreak situation:
1. Ignorance of basic scientifically proven procedures (hand-washing, sanitizing, avoidance of crowds, avoidance of handshaking/social kissing).
2. Ignorance of flawed procedures and beliefs (old wives' tails like going outside in the cold will give you a cold).
3. Panic, and what it causes people to do.
Having this hit places without a strong infrastructure or government is going to be bad.
For all their ills, China was probably one of the better equipped places to deal with the epidemic because they CAN lock their people away and no one fights it. I wouldn't say it's an ideal solution or humane or anything good, but it's one not a lot of other places could get away with.
Their control over their people can't stop them from having festivals to live-barbecue dogs, so I seriously doubt their ability to override rampant ignorance. It's the wild west over there, just that the gov wields a big stick. But even their 26mil cameras can't delete generations of bad information from getting passed around.